All markets
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?
14%chance
- Yes13.5%
Outcomes
- Yes14%
13.5¢ per share
- No87%
86.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 13.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13¢ | 14.12 | $1.84 |
| 12¢ | 504.46 | $60.54 |
| 11¢ | 50 | $5.50 |
| 10¢ | 483.33 | $48.33 |
| 6¢ | 21.5 | $1.29 |
| 4¢ | 5.36 | $0.21 |
| 3¢ | 133.33 | $4.00 |
| 2¢ | 805.9 | $16.12 |
| 1¢ | 5.94 | $0.06 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 14¢ | 478.09 | $66.93 |
| 15¢ | 231.7 | $34.75 |
| 16¢ | 1,234 | $197.44 |
| 49¢ | 19.6 | $9.60 |
| 50¢ | 20 | $10.00 |
| 55¢ | 5 | $2.75 |
| 57¢ | 1,500 | $855.00 |
| 59¢ | 1,720 | $1,014.80 |
| 60¢ | 7,375 | $4,425.00 |
| 77¢ | 2,104.34 | $1,620.34 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".