All markets
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?
19%chance
- Yes18.5%
Outcomes
- Yes19%
18.5¢ per share
- No82%
81.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 18.5¢Spread 13¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12¢ | 40 | $4.80 |
| 11¢ | 20 | $2.20 |
| 10¢ | 20 | $2.00 |
| 9¢ | 30 | $2.70 |
| 6¢ | 5.56 | $0.33 |
| 5¢ | 65 | $3.25 |
| 3¢ | 7.99 | $0.24 |
| 2¢ | 556.42 | $11.13 |
| 1¢ | 1,471.07 | $14.71 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 25¢ | 9.5 | $2.38 |
| 26¢ | 9.6 | $2.50 |
| 27¢ | 10.5 | $2.84 |
| 50¢ | 20 | $10.00 |
| 88¢ | 30 | $26.40 |
| 89¢ | 20 | $17.80 |
| 96¢ | 20.23 | $19.42 |
| 97¢ | 60 | $58.20 |
| 98¢ | 123.65 | $121.18 |
| 99¢ | 140.45 | $139.05 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.