All markets
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
4%chance
- Yes3.5%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.5¢ per share
- No96%
96.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.5¢Spread 1.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7¢ | 40 | $1.08 |
| 2.6¢ | 500 | $13.00 |
| 2.5¢ | 1,004.84 | $25.12 |
| 2.2¢ | 1,200 | $26.40 |
| 2.1¢ | 652.89 | $13.71 |
| 2¢ | 1,220 | $24.40 |
| 1.8¢ | 507.38 | $9.13 |
| 1.7¢ | 4,140 | $70.38 |
| 1.5¢ | 2,206 | $33.09 |
| 1.3¢ | 7.41 | $0.10 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4¢ | 37.93 | $1.67 |
| 4.5¢ | 2,249.4 | $101.22 |
| 4.6¢ | 5.12 | $0.24 |
| 5¢ | 526.3 | $26.31 |
| 5.1¢ | 1,449.63 | $73.93 |
| 5.4¢ | 4,630.21 | $250.03 |
| 5.6¢ | 2,704 | $151.42 |
| 5.7¢ | 500 | $28.50 |
| 6¢ | 5,555 | $333.30 |
| 6.4¢ | 213.67 | $13.67 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count. The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.