All markets
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
4%chance
- Yes3.8%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.8¢ per share
- No96%
96.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.8¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.7¢ | 50 | $1.85 |
| 3.2¢ | 46 | $1.47 |
| 3.1¢ | 140 | $4.34 |
| 3¢ | 80 | $2.40 |
| 2.7¢ | 20 | $0.54 |
| 2.4¢ | 10 | $0.24 |
| 2.2¢ | 20 | $0.44 |
| 2.1¢ | 239 | $5.02 |
| 2¢ | 328.24 | $6.56 |
| 1.9¢ | 10 | $0.19 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.8¢ | 195.31 | $7.42 |
| 3.9¢ | 174.99 | $6.82 |
| 4¢ | 227.83 | $9.11 |
| 4.1¢ | 20 | $0.82 |
| 4.2¢ | 45 | $1.89 |
| 4.3¢ | 724.42 | $31.15 |
| 4.7¢ | 195 | $9.17 |
| 5.1¢ | 526.87 | $26.87 |
| 6.4¢ | 20 | $1.28 |
| 9¢ | 50 | $4.50 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.