All markets
Natural Disaster in 2026?
9%chance
- Yes9%
Outcomes
- Yes9%
9.0¢ per share
- No91%
91.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 9¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8¢ | 103 | $8.24 |
| 7¢ | 246.41 | $17.25 |
| 6¢ | 64.81 | $3.89 |
| 5¢ | 200 | $10.00 |
| 4¢ | 1,299.73 | $51.99 |
| 3¢ | 1,884.9 | $56.55 |
| 2¢ | 2,850 | $57.00 |
| 1¢ | 4,132.33 | $41.32 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10¢ | 101.12 | $10.11 |
| 11¢ | 50 | $5.50 |
| 12¢ | 110 | $13.20 |
| 16¢ | 8.33 | $1.33 |
| 17¢ | 9.63 | $1.64 |
| 18¢ | 40 | $7.20 |
| 24¢ | 5 | $1.20 |
| 34¢ | 175.09 | $59.53 |
| 50¢ | 39.79 | $19.90 |
| 51¢ | 5 | $2.55 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf