Economy

40 events

Fed Decision in October?
- No change81%
- 25 bps increase20%
$33.6M Vol.monthly

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Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

Fed Decision in January?

No change65%
25 bps increase33%

$345.7K Vol.monthly

September Inflation US - Annual

3.7%43%
3.6%41%

$203.2K Vol.monthly

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA76%
Apple18%

$8.1M Vol.monthly

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)96%
1 (25 bps)2%

$54.1M Vol.

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change92%
25 bps increase9%

$547.5K Vol.annual

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA91%
Apple7%

$266.7K Vol.monthly

Swiss National Bank decision in December?

No Change76%
25 bps increase23%

$35.0K Vol.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change74%
25 bps increase24%

$108.4K Vol.annual

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike62%
Hike–Pause–Pause21%

$286.4K Vol.daily

3rd Largest Company end of October?

Alphabet80%
Microsoft20%

$49.8K Vol.monthly

Core CPI MoM - September 2026

0.2%50%
0.3%31%

$58.4K Vol.monthly

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M74%
270M9%

$30.9K Vol.monthly

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.4%51%
5.5%29%

$968.3K Vol.weekly

US recession by end of 2026?

8%chance

$2.3M Vol.3 months left

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.70%62%
5.80%41%

$210.8K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.0 - 2.5M33%
2.5 - 3.0M27%

$111.6K Vol.monthly

$73.1K Vol.monthly

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+54%
2.7-2.8M18%

$41.8K Vol.monthly

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?

3%chance

$11.3K Vol.2 months left

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Pause-Hike-Pause52%
Pause-Hike-Hike13%

$31.4K Vol.daily

Central Bank of Chile decision in October

No change93%
25 bps decrease5%

$10.2K Vol.monthly

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

3.50% to 3.99%60%
4.00% to 4.49%14%

$84.2K Vol.

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

No Change88%
25 bps increase12%

$168.0K Vol.annual

Spotify Monthly Active Users above __ in Q3?

770M>99%
780M98%

$2.9K Vol.

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.10%83%
5.25%39%

$101.1K Vol.

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

4.0–5.0%96%
5.0–6.0%3%

$931.2K Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.32%64%
5.35%49%

$24.4K Vol.weekly

Bank of Russia decision in October?

No Change90%
Decrease11%

$74.4K Vol.annual

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

>5.0%76%
4.7-5.0%14%

$92.1K Vol.

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting53%
June 2027 Meeting36%

$3.8M Vol.

Core CPI YoY - September 2026

2.4%46%
2.5%36%

$48.1K Vol.monthly

US economic state at the end of 2026?

$102.5K Vol.

October Unemployment Rate

4.2%37%
4.1%30%

$6.5K Vol.monthly

Price of Dozen Eggs in September?

$2.20 to $2.3055%
$2.10 to $2.2031%

$32.9K Vol.monthly

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9%61%
25-29.9%35%

$79.9K Vol.monthly

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Apple93%
NVIDIA4%

$22.5K Vol.monthly

Economy

US recession by end of 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?