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This is an independent demo that is not affiliated with Polymarket. Market data comes from the public Polymarket API and may be delayed. Prices reflect market odds, not guarantees. Balances and trades on this site use simulated test funds; no real money is moved. Trading real prediction markets involves substantial risk of loss and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. See our Terms of Use & Privacy Policy.

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Gemini 4.0 released by...?
- November 3098%
- October 3189%
$1.5M Vol.

Max Spread ±4.5¢

Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's Watermelon released on...?

October 12>99%
October 22<1%

$71.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3195%
October 3183%

$333.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

What will the next Muse model family be named?

Other>99%
Muse Watermelon<1%

$119.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

October 15>99%
November 30>99%

$106.0K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3193%
October 143%

$40.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3186%
October 3120%

$235.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+89%
50%+84%

$52.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 1337%
October 1429%

$40.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon released by...?

November 3094%
October 3187%

$37.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+94%
1420+83%

$46.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 190%
October 19–October 254%

$289.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3117%
October 1311%

$45.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3189%
October 203%

$103.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3134%
November 3033%

$1.6M Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 100Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+42%
45%+32%

$102.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+56%
1490+45%

$19.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+90%
50%+57%

$6.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3172%
November 3055%

$4.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+90%
45%+88%

$35.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3122%
October 164%

$34.0K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

October 3161%
October 1514%

$24.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3067%
October 3128%

$9.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+84%
1490+80%

$3.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3026%
October 3119%

$23.9K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$36.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+65%
$50+42%

$5.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+88%
50%+78%

$109.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3188%
November 3068%

$6.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1510+76%
1520+49%

$7.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+80%
55%+72%

$6.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

SSI public model released by…?

December 3156%
November 3050%

$132.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?

November 3061%
October 3113%

$10.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3026%
October 3110%

$9.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+78%
$50+60%

$4.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+85%
$20+57%

$3.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

December 3192%
October 3152%

$907.9 Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

November 3087%
October 3110%

$4.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by...?

February 2850%
December 3140%

$1.1K Vol.monthlyEarn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?

December 3161%
January 3161%

$1.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Kimi K4 released by…?

December 31, 20268%
March 31, 20276%

$22.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

New MAI thinking model released by...?

$639.9 Vol.·2 months left

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?

December 3173%
October 3115%

$9.9K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Muse on Meta glasses by...?

December 3145%
October 3122%

$4.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?

January 3156%
December 3124%

$617.1 Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Grok 5 released by...?

December 3143%
November 3014%

$18.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

December 3165%
November 3052%

$2.9K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

1440+57%
1450+52%

$6.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by...?

January 3143%
November 3038%

$339.9 Vol.monthlyEarn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by...?

March 3149%
January 3128%

$439.0 Vol.monthlyEarn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

January 3140%
December 3135%

$36.2 Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

GPT-7 released by...?

December 31, 202792%
June 30, 202743%

$15.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 100Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

$7.2K Vol.·19 days left

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$83.0K Vol.·2 months left