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This is an independent demo that is not affiliated with Polymarket. Market data comes from the public Polymarket API and may be delayed. Prices reflect market odds, not guarantees. Balances and trades on this site use simulated test funds; no real money is moved. Trading real prediction markets involves substantial risk of loss and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. See our Terms of Use & Privacy Policy.

HomeBreaking Portfolio

Trending Combos Perps Breaking NewPolitics Sports Crypto Esports Iran Finance Geopolitics Tech Culture Economy Weather Elections World AI Science

All293
AI Releases57
Anthropic66
Big Tech145
Google36
Gemini14
Claude35
AI Rankings73
OpenAI74

AI Releases

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Gemini 4.0 released by...?
- November 3098%
- October 3190%
$1.5M Vol.

Max Spread ±4.5¢

Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3195%
October 3180%

$323.9K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon released by...?

November 3095%
October 3187%

$36.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3187%
October 3124%

$231.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 1324%
October 1423%

$38.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+89%
50%+84%

$46.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+94%
1420+85%

$44.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+30%
1490+28%

$269.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3119%
October 2012%

$42.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

November 3096%
October 3193%

$95.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+88%
45%+88%

$34.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+42%
45%+33%

$102.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3134%
November 3033%

$1.6M Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 100Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 190%
October 19–October 254%

$285.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3043%
October 3128%

$43.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+65%
$50+41%

$5.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+83%
1490+80%

$3.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's Watermelon released on...?

October 1318%
October 1216%

$39.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Muse on Meta glasses by...?

December 3139%
October 3114%

$4.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3034%
October 3118%

$23.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3173%
November 3067%

$3.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$36.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

October 3157%
October 1520%

$24.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+89%
50%+62%

$6.0K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3063%
October 3147%

$9.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3128%
October 1417%

$30.9K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+85%
50%+55%

$109.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+80%
55%+72%

$6.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1510+77%
1520+49%

$7.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3190%
November 3073%

$6.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

SSI public model released by…?

December 3156%
November 3046%

$132.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3171%
October 1628%

$33.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?

November 3061%
October 3112%

$10.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+85%
1510+83%

$4.9K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

What will the next Muse model family be named?

Muse Fire9%
Muse Watermelon6%

$103.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+78%
$50+50%

$4.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+84%
$20+62%

$3.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3032%
October 3115%

$9.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?

January 3172%
December 3150%

$1.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

November 3087%
October 3110%

$4.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards